What is the chance of receiving a Sinnoh Stone or Rare Candy in a leader or trainer (PvP) battle?

My questions are:

• What is the probability of receiving a Sinnoh Stone in a team leader or PvP battle?
• What is the probability of receiving a Rare Candy in a leader or PvP battle?
• Do any factors influence these probabilities e.g. if you win or lose?

Previously when only Sinnoh Stones and Stardust were obtainable from these battles, the observed chance was about 1 in 7, and this was not affected by if the battle was vs a leader or another player, or if the battle was won or lost. However, Rare Candies and TMs are now obtainable prizes since this analysis was done. The number of battles vs both the leader and PvP that can award prizes had also temporarily increased to 5 (10 total) for Swinub Community Day but has since returned to 1 against the leader and 3 against other players.

2

1 Answer

Analysis was done by Silph Road on 6-19-2019

PvP has set rates that don't change based off win/lose:

• Stardust: 67.23%

• Sinnoh Stone: 15.08%

• Rare Candy: 14.73%

• TM Charged: 2%

• TM Fast: .97%

Team leaders - not exact values see source for more information

Lose: 300 stardust

Win -

• Stardust: Great- 92.46% | Ultra- 90.06% | Master 83.08%

• Sinnoh Stone: Great - 5.17% | Ultra - 5.85% | Master - 10.04%

• Rare Candy: Great - 1.15% | Ultra - 3.05% | Master - 5.19%

• TM Fast: Great - .51% | Ultra - .45% | Master - .87%

• TM Charge: Great - .70% | Ultra - .58% | Master - .82%